LONDON: Three days of attacks between US-led coalition forces and Iran-backed Iraqi militias continued with the second attack in a week on the coalition base at Camp Taji, north of Baghdad.
Missiles were fired at the base after US warplanes conducted a series of airstrikes on Iraqi militia positions in the provinces of Babil and Karbala on Thursday night.
The strikes came in retaliation for a missile attack on Camp Taji on Wednesday, on what would have been the birthday of Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani, who was killed by a US drone strike in Baghdad in January.
Wednesdayâs attack claimed the lives of two American soldiers â Juan Miguel Mendez Covarrubias and Marshal D. Roberts â and British Army reservist Brodie Gillon.
The Iraqi military said six people were killed in the US strikes, including three soldiers, two police officers and a civilian.
It added that the strikes had been launched against positions occupied by the paramilitary umbrella group Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi, a wing of the Iraqi security forces that includes the militia Kataib Hezbollah.
Jamal Jafar Muhammad Ali Al-Ibrahim, former Al-Hashd deputy chief and Kataib Hezbollah commander, was one of the senior figures killed alongside Soleimani.
Pentagon spokeswoman Alyssa Farah confirmed that the militia was the target, saying the US had âconducted defensive precision strikes against Kataib Hezbollah facilities across Iraq.â
A senior US commander has accused the militia of being behind the attacks on Camp Taji. Gen. Kenneth McKenzie, US Central Command chief, told a committee meeting of the US Senate: âThe Iranian proxy group Kataib Hezbollah is the only group known to have previously conducted an indirect fire attack of this scale against US and coalition forces in Iraq.â
UK reaction
UK Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab praised the decision to launch airstrikes on Al-Hashd positions on Thursday, having previously stated, after confirmation of Gillonâs death, that those responsible for the attacks would be âheld responsible.â
Raab said in a statement: âThe response to the cowardly attack on coalition forces in Iraq has been swift, decisive and proportionate.â
He added: âUK forces are in Iraq with coalition partners to help the country counter-terrorist activity and anyone seeking to harm them can expect a strong response.â
However, the UKâs ability to hold people to account is complex, bound up in a multitude of issues including rules of engagement and interaction with coalition partners.
The UKâs role in the strikes is unclear â various sources, including USA Today, claimed that the airstrikes were âa joint operation with the British,â though US President Donald Trump is known to have given the final go ahead.
âWe didnât launch the strike,â a UK Ministry of Defense (MoD) spokesman told Arab News.
Michael Stephens, an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies, said coordinated military responses with the US are the most likely course of action the UK will take.
âThere are many ways that you can hold people to account. I think itâs a combination of messaging and action, and because we lost service personnel and we have joint operations going on in Anbar and the Kurdistan region as well, I donât think itâs unusual, necessarily, to have a combination of US and UK activity,â he told Arab News.
âYou can have UK assets doing ISTAR (intelligence, surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance) whilst the US carries out the strike or vice versa, or you can have ad hoc missions. Itâs not unusual for the UK to be involved in âkinetic activityâ in Iraq,â he said.
BACKGROUND
âą The strikes came in retaliation for a missile attack on Camp Taji on Wednesday, on what would have been the birthday of Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani, who was killed by a US drone strike in Baghdad in January.
âą Wednesdayâs attack claimed the lives of two American soldiers â Juan Miguel Mendez Covarrubias and Marshal D. Roberts â and British Army reservist Brodie Gillon.
âThe lines are quite grey in terms of âis this going to be a UK-only response.â It doesnât really work like that. Itâs more fluid, and it can simply be a day-to-day set of calculations that determine how we (the coalition) respond.â
Part of the complexity revolves around the fact that Al-Hashd is technically part of the Iraqi security forces, blurring lines about chains of command and responsibility. Stephens was scathing about the ability of diplomatic routes to resolve the situation.
âIn terms of diplomatic pressure, the Iraqi government has absolutely no ability to respond when it comes to Kataib Hezbollah or Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi in general,â he said.
âI think this is something that a lot of countries are trying to work on, in terms of building the resilience of the Iraqi state,â he added.
âVis-a-vis Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi, thereâs not much you can do. If you start threatening more coercive diplomatic tactics or sanctions, youâre effectively just making a lot of innocent Iraqis suffer. It can be counterproductive, and the problem youâve got is this very strange legal status for Al-Hashd, which just sort of attaches to the state when it wants to, and behaves as if itâs not part of the state at other times,â Stephens said.
âThatâs a highly complicated equation. If youâre putting pressure on Baghdad, you may not get a result because Baghdad is both unwilling to do it and doesnât have the actual leverage to do it either. Youâve then got to apply diplomatic pressure that doesnât make the situation more difficult.â
Clear message
Military responses range in terms of method and intention. A source familiar with UK foreign policy told Arab News on condition of anonymity: âIt can range from a Reaper (drone) to a team, and it can be subtle or it can be âshock and awe.â Both have their uses, but the overarching message is clear: If US or UK forces want you, theyâll find you. How obvious they make it depends on the message they wish to send to other actors.â
Stephens suggested that may have been behind the very public way the coalition had struck Kataib Hezbollah.
âA straight military response (like this) shows âescalation dominance â they kill three, we kill 25.â I donât really think thereâs any other way to deal with this,â he said.
âIt makes sense to simply increase the cost on these militias. If they go outside the remit of the state â and their strikes kill Iraqi service personnel as well â theyâre hurting themselves. But of course these militias are only thinking about themselves, not the wider Iraqi question.â
In terms of what might follow the latest attack on Camp Taji, Stephens believed little would change.
âThatâs the response. I think more will come. Sure, summon the British ambassador, summon the US ambassador, but that wonât stop whatâs going on here,â he said.
âEventually I think this will come to a head and both sides will have to climb down when they realize the cost is getting too high politically â and from the militiaâs side, they just lose too many people.â
The anonymous source said: âYou simply wonât know the full extent of whatâs going on. Thatâs the thing about secret military operations â they tend to stay that way.â
The UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office did not comment on whether the government had tried to undertake a diplomatic route in identifying the attackers.
The MoD declined to comment on whether the coalition had relayed its intention to the Iraqi government to strike Al-Hashd targets prior to the attack. âBut weâre in constant communication,â its spokesman told Arab News.