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New Japan PM Shigeru Ishiba fears for majority in snap election

New Japan PM Shigeru Ishiba fears for majority in snap election
Some polls suggest that even with its junior coalition partner, the Komeito party, New Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will be unable to form a government without forming other alliances. (AFP)
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Updated 24 October 2024

New Japan PM Shigeru Ishiba fears for majority in snap election

New Japan PM Shigeru Ishiba fears for majority in snap election
  • Shigeru Ishiba took office and called an election less than a month ago after a tough contest within the Liberal Democratic Party
  • Polls suggest the LDP could fall short of the 233 lower house seats needed for a majority for the first time since 2009

TOKYO: New Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s snap election gamble could backfire this Sunday, with his ruling party at risk of losing its majority for the first time in 15 years.
Ishiba took office and called an election less than a month ago after a tough contest within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has governed for all but four of the last 69 years.
“This is an attempt to create a new Japan that will drastically change the nature of Japanese society,” he said. “To boldly carry out this major change, we need the confidence of the people.”
But polls suggest the LDP could fall short of the 233 lower house seats needed for a majority for the first time since 2009. They currently hold 256 seats.
This would be bad enough, but some polls suggest that even with its junior coalition partner, the Komeito party, Ishiba will be unable to form a government without forming other alliances.
Not helping matters is the popularity of Yoshihiko Noda, the new head of the opposition Constitutional Democratic Party and a former prime minister, who at 67 is the same age as Ishiba.
Noda’s stance “is sort of similar to the LDP’s. He is basically a conservative,” Masato Kamikubo, a political scientist at Ritsumeikan University, said.
“The CDP or Noda can be an alternative to the LDP. Many voters think so,” Kamikubo said.
Japan faces major challenges. With its population projected to drop by almost a third in the next 50 years, many sectors already struggle to fill vacancies.
The world’s fourth-biggest economy has long been flatlining, with a weak yen pushing up import prices in recent years, especially of fossil fuels which still dominate power generation.
Polls show that voters’ biggest worry is inflation, which along with a party slush fund scandal torpedoed Ishiba’s predecessor Fumio Kishida after three years in the job.
Japan already has one of the highest debt-to-GDP ratios in the world, yet the government faces a ballooning bill to care for the growing ranks of the elderly.
Another big area of spending is the military, with Kishida having pledged to double defense spending and boost US military ties as a counter to China.
Ishiba has vowed to revitalize rural areas, where more than 40 percent of municipalities risk disappearing according to a survey in April.
“If the village is left as it is now, the only thing that awaits us is extinction,” said 74-year-old Ichiro Sawayama, an official in Ichinono near Osaka, one such locality.
The community of fewer than 60 people has only one child, and staffed mannequins dot the streets to give the appearance of a bustling hamlet.
Ishiba has promised to consign deflation to history — stagnant or falling prices have stalked Japan for decades — and to boost incomes with a stimulus package.
He says he wants to hike the average national minimum wage by more than 40 percent within this decade, although this could hurt many small firms.
But after an initial honeymoon, Ishiba’s poll ratings have dipped, with a recent Kyodo News survey giving his cabinet a disapproval rating of 40 percent.
Not helping his cause with women is the nomination of just two female members to his cabinet in a country ranked 118th in the 2024 World Economic Forum’s Global Gender Gap report.
A separate poll by the Asahi newspaper found public approval for the cabinet at 33 percent and disapproval at 39 percent, worse than Kishida ahead of his first election in 2021.
But whether the opposition can capitalize and cobble together a majority instead is moot, said Yu Uchimura, a political scientist at the University of Tokyo.
“If the opposition is able to unite as a large group like the Democratic Party did in 2009, then they can win,” Uchimura said.
“But that is the problem with the opposition; they always fight among themselves and disband very quickly.”


Global tensions rattle COP30 build-up but ‘failure not an option’

Updated 12 sec ago

Global tensions rattle COP30 build-up but ‘failure not an option’

Global tensions rattle COP30 build-up but ‘failure not an option’
BONN: This year’s UN COP30 summit in Brazil was hotly-anticipated as a pivotal moment for the planet, as the world fast approaches a key global warming threshold.
But the hosts are yet to propose a headline ambition for the marathon November talks, raising concerns they could fall flat.
The build-up has been overshadowed by devastating conflicts on three continents and the US withdrawal from global cooperation on climate, trade and health.
Expectations have dimmed since Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s pitch three years ago to host climate talks in the Amazon.
A warm-up UN climate event in Germany that concluded on Thursday saw disputes flare over a range of issues, including finance, adding to anxiety about how much headway COP30 can make.
Brazil is a deft climate negotiator, but the “international context has never been so bad,” said Claudio Angelo, of the Brazilian organization Climate Observatory.
Given the stakes, former UN climate chief Patricia Espinosa said Brazil may have to make do with “baby steps.”
“One of the main messages that should be coming out of COP30 is the unity of everyone behind multilateralism and international cooperation. Not achieving that means everybody will suffer,” she told AFP.
“Failure is not an option in this case.”


Previous COPs have been judged on the deals clinched between the nearly 200 nations that haggle over two weeks to advance global climate policy.
Recent summits have produced landmark outcomes, from a global pledge to transition away from fossil fuels, to the creation of a specialized fund to help countries hit by climate disaster.
COP30 CEO Ana Toni said that “most of the big flashy topics” born out of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change had been dealt with.
That leaves Brazil with an arguably harder challenge — trying to ensure what has been agreed is put into practice.
Much of the action is set for the COP30 sidelines or before nations arrive in the Amazonian city of Belem.
National climate plans due before COP30 from all countries — but most importantly major emitters China, the European Union and India — will be more consequential than this year’s negotiations, experts say.
It is expected this latest round of national commitments will fall well short of containing global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius, and possibly even 2C, the less ambitious of the Paris accord’s climate goals.
“I expect that the COP will need to react to that,” said Ana Toni, although what form that reaction would take was “under question.”
Uncertainty about how COP30 will help steer nations toward 1.5C has left the Alliance of Small Island States bloc “concerned,” said lead negotiator Anne Rasmussen.
“Our survival depends on that,” she told AFP.


How countries will make good on their promise to transition away from fossil fuels may also become a point of contention.
Angelo said he hoped Brazil would champion the idea, included in the country’s climate plan, of working toward “schedules” for that transition.
But he likened Brazil’s auctioning of oil and gas extraction rights near the mouth of the Amazon river this month — just as climate negotiators got down to business in Bonn — to an act of “sabotage.”
Another key priority for Brazil is forest protection, but otherwise COP30 leaders have mostly focused on unfinished business from previous meetings, including fleshing out a goal to build resilience to climate impacts.
According to the hosts of last year’s hard-fought climate talks, global tensions might not leave room for much else.
“We need to focus more on preserving the legacy that we have established, rather than increasing ambition,” said Yalchin Rafiyev, top climate negotiator for COP29 host Azerbaijan.
He fears that trying and failing to do more could risk undermining the whole UN process.
Those close to the climate talks concede they can move frustratingly slowly, but insist the annual negotiations remain crucial.
“I don’t think there’s any other way to address a threat to humanity as big as this is,” Espinosa told AFP.

Eel-eating Japan opposes EU call for more protection

Eel-eating Japan opposes EU call for more protection
Updated 32 min 24 sec ago

Eel-eating Japan opposes EU call for more protection

Eel-eating Japan opposes EU call for more protection
  • Japanese media have reported that the EU could soon propose that all eel species be added to the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species which limits the trade of protected species

TOKYO: Japan’s agriculture minister said Friday the country would oppose any call by the European Union to add eels to an endangered species list that would limit trade in them.
Eel is eaten worldwide but is particularly popular in Japan, where is called “unagi” and traditionally served grilled after being covered in a sticky-sweet sauce.
Minister Shinjiro Koizumi told reporters that the country carefully manages stock levels of the Japanese eel in cooperation with neighboring China, Taiwan and South Korea.
“There is a sufficient population, and it faces no extinction risk due to international trade,” he said.
Japanese media have reported that the EU could soon propose that all eel species be added to the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES) which limits trade of protected animals.
There are 19 species and subspecies of eel, many of them now threatened due to a range of factors including pollution and overfishing.
In 2014, the Japanese eel was listed as endangered, but not critically endangered, by the International Union for Conservation of Nature, which cited factors including habitat loss, overfishing, pollution and migration barriers.
Protecting the animal is complicated by their complex life cycle, which unfolds over a vast area, and the many unknowns about how they reproduce.


US envoy leaves Russia as detente faltering

US envoy leaves Russia as detente faltering
Updated 46 min 36 sec ago

US envoy leaves Russia as detente faltering

US envoy leaves Russia as detente faltering
  • Moscow earlier this week accused Washington of not being ‘ready’ to take steps to restore the normal functioning of their embassies

MOSCOW: The US ambassador to Russia, Lynne Tracy, is departing Moscow, leaving Washington without a top envoy in the country as a rapprochement being pushed by US President Donald Trump falters.

Moscow earlier this week accused Washington of not being “ready” to take steps to restore the normal functioning of their embassies, hobbled by years of tit-for-tat restrictions and expulsions of diplomats.

Trump has not yet nominated a successor to Tracy, the first woman to hold the post and who was appointed by ex-President Joe Biden and is leaving after two-and-a-half years in the role.

Trump has overhauled Biden’s policy of isolating Vladimir Putin over his Ukraine offensive, holding several calls with the Kremlin chief and raising the prospect of boosting bilateral ties.

“I am proud to have represented my country in Moscow during such a challenging time,” Tracy said in a message posted by the embassy on social media.

She also quoted lines from a poem by Alexander Pushkin, Russia’s famed national poet.

Diplomats from the two countries have held several rounds of negotiations under Trump on issues ranging from the Ukraine conflict and prisoner exchanges to normalizing embassy operations.

But on Wednesday the Kremlin accused Washington of being “not yet ready” to remove barriers to the work of their respective diplomatic missions.

Trump has shown increasing frustration with Putin over his refusal to end Moscow’s three-year offensive on Ukraine.

Since the Republican returned to the White House, Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for an unconditional ceasefire, demanded Kyiv cede more territory, urged his troops to keep advancing and escalated deadly missile and drone attacks on Ukraine.


Fusion between culture and modernity as children dance in Kenyan refugee camp

Fusion between culture and modernity as children dance in Kenyan refugee camp
Updated 59 min 57 sec ago

Fusion between culture and modernity as children dance in Kenyan refugee camp

Fusion between culture and modernity as children dance in Kenyan refugee camp
  • The Acholi people, mostly from Uganda and South Sudan, are among refugees who live in Kakuma camp, which was established in 1992 as a safe haven for people fleeing conflict from dozens of east African countries

KALOBEYEI: Beads of sweat drip from the faces of young girls and boys as they dance to the rhythm of traditional drums and open calabashes, while their peers watch them in awe.
These are refugee children, some who were born in one of Africa’s largest camps — Kakuma, located in northern Kenya, where more than 300,000 refugees’ livelihoods have been affected by funding cuts that have halved monthly food rations.
The children use the Acholi traditional dance as a distraction from hunger and have perfected a survival skill to skip lunches as they stretch their monthly food rations that are currently at 30 percent of the UN nutritional recommendation per person.
The Acholi people, mostly from Uganda and South Sudan, are among refugees who live in Kakuma camp, which was established in 1992 as a safe haven for people fleeing conflict from dozens of east African countries.
For a moment, the melodious sound of one of the refugee mothers stops the playground buzz of activity as dozens of children sit down to enjoy the traditional dance performance.
The colorful swings doting the community center at Kakuma’s Kalobeyei Refugee Settlement were donated by a Swiss organization, Terre des hommes, which still manages the playground aptly named “Furaha” — Swahili for Happiness.
But the happiness of these children isn’t guaranteed now as funding cuts have affected operations here. Fewer resources and staff are available to engage the children and ensure their safety.
One of the dancers, Gladis Amwony, has lived in Kakuma for 8 years now. In recent years, she has started taking part in the Acholi traditional dances to keep her Ugandan roots alive.
The now 20-year-old doesn’t imagine ever going back to Uganda and has no recollection of life in her home village.
“I’m happiest when I dance, I feel connected to my ancestors,” the soft-spoken Amwony says after her dance session.
While Amwony and her friends are looking for a cultural connection, just about 5 kilometers (3 miles) from their village in neighboring Kalobeyei Village 3, some boys are in touch with modernity.
The five boys have been practicing a one-of-a-kind dance where they mimic robots, complete with face masks that hide their human faces.
They make their sharp synchronized moves that they have been perfecting for months.
The boys will be part of performances that will be showcased during this year’s World Refugee Day, as an example of the talent and resilience that exists among the refugee community.
This younger generation of dancers make precision moves in a small hall with play and learning items stored in a cabinet that is branded with an American flag, an indication that it was donated by the USgovernment.
Such donations are now scarce, with the United States having cut down on funding in March.
These cuts have affected operations here, with the future stardom hopes for these children dimming by the day.
The center, which previously featured daily programs such as taekwondo and ballet, may not be operational in a few months if the funding landscape remains as is.
“We are now reducing some of the activities because we are few. The staff are few and even per day we only have one staff remaining in the center and it is really hard for him/her to conduct 500 children,” said John Papa, a community officer for Terre des hommes in Kalobeyei Village 3.
These programs do more than entertain the children — they keep them away from issues such as child labor, abuse and crime which as a major concern for humanitarian organizations in Kakuma.
And as the children dance and play beneath the sweltering sun, the only hope is that these child friendly spaces remain operational for years.


Germany charges Syrian national in connection with Taylor Swift concert plot

Germany charges Syrian national in connection with Taylor Swift concert plot
Updated 27 June 2025

Germany charges Syrian national in connection with Taylor Swift concert plot

Germany charges Syrian national in connection with Taylor Swift concert plot
  • Germany charges Syrian national in connection with Taylor Swift concert plot

BERLIN: Germany has charged a Syrian national with supporting a foreign terrorist organization for helping to plan a foiled attack on a Taylor Swift concert in Vienna last year, the prosecutor general said in a statement on Friday.
Identified as Mohammad A, the suspect helped the would-be attacker by translating Arabic bomb-building instructions and putting him in contact with a member of the Islamic State militia online, according to the charges against him.