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Oil Updates – crude trades in tight range ahead of US election

Oil Updates – crude trades in tight range ahead of US election
Brent crude futures ticked down 3 cents, or 0.04 percent, to $75.05 a barrel by 9:00 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 05 November 2024

Oil Updates – crude trades in tight range ahead of US election

Oil Updates – crude trades in tight range ahead of US election

SINGAPORE: Oil prices traded in a narrow range on Tuesday ahead of what is expected to be an exceptionally close US presidential election, after rising more than 2 percent in the previous session as OPEC+ delayed plans to hike production in December.

Brent crude futures ticked down 3 cents, or 0.04 percent, to $75.05 a barrel by 9:00 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $71.43 a barrel, down 4 cents, or 0.06 percent.
“We are now in the calm before the storm,” IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Oil prices were supported by Sunday’s announcement from OPEC and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, to push back a production hike by a month from December as weak demand and rising non-OPEC supply depress markets.

Still, risk-taking remains limited with a busy week — including the US election, the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, and China’s National People’s Congress meeting — keeping many traders on the sidelines, said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

For now, polls suggest the US presidential race will be closely contested, and any delay in election results or even disputes could pose near-term risks for broader markets or drag on them for longer, added Yeap.

“Eyes are also on China’s NPC meeting for any clarity on fiscal stimulus to uplift the country’s demand outlook, but we are unlikely to see any strong commitment before the US presidential results, and that will continue to keep oil prices in a near-term waiting game,” Yeap said.

Meanwhile, OPEC oil output rebounded in October as Libya resumed output, a Reuters survey found, although a further Iraqi effort to meet its cuts pledged to the wider OPEC+ alliance limited the gain.

More oil could come from OPEC producer Iran as Tehran has approved a plan to increase output by 250,000 barrels per day, the oil ministry’s news website Shana reported on Monday.

In the US, a late season tropical storm predicted to intensify into a category 2 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico this week could reduce oil production by about 4 million barrels, researchers said.

“Technically, crude oil needs to rebound above resistance at $71.50/72.50 to negate the downside risks,” IG’s Sycamore said, referring to WTI prices.

“All of which suggests there won’t be a scramble to chase it higher in the short term.”

Ahead of US weekly oil data on Wednesday, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday that US crude stockpiles likely rose last week, while distillate and gasoline inventories fell.


Inaugural Cultural Investment Conference opens in Riyadh

Inaugural Cultural Investment Conference opens in Riyadh
Updated 27 sec ago

Inaugural Cultural Investment Conference opens in Riyadh

Inaugural Cultural Investment Conference opens in Riyadh

RIYADH: The inaugural Cultural Investment Conference opens in Riyadh, with multisectoral representatives from arts practitioners, government officials, investors to diplomats gathering for high-level discussions on culture as a strategic investment.

The two-day event, held under the patronage of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, “explores bold financing models, strategic partnerships, and the evolving role of cultural capital in driving economic growth, national identity, and global influence,” according to the conference website.

Opinion

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Among the key themes to be discussed include new investment opportunities, emerging markets and untapped sectors in the cultural economy, the RoI of culture, financing the future of culture, artificial intelligence and culture, boosting investor confidence and creative entrepreneurship.


IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 
Updated 41 min 46 sec ago

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 
  • IMF mission arrived in Pakistan last week to hold separate reviews of $7 billion and $1.4 billion loan programs 
  • Discussions take place as Pakistan eyes concessions in program targets from IMF following devastating floods 

KARACHI: A visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission kicked off talks with Pakistani officials on Monday as it holds the second review of its $7 billion External Fund Facility (EFF) and first review of the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) loan programs for the country, the lender confirmed. 

The IMF mission arrived in Pakistan on Sept. 25 to conduct the reviews. The global lender approved a $7 billion bailout package for Pakistan under its EFF program in September 2024 while in May, it approved a separate $1.4 billion loan for Pakistan as a climate resilience fund. The RSF will support Pakistan’s efforts in building economic resilience to climate vulnerabilities and natural disasters. 

“Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue, Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb, chairing the kick-off meeting with the visiting IMF Review Mission at the Finance Division today,” the IMF said in a statement, sharing pictures of the meeting between the two sides. 

The discussion takes place as Pakistan seeks concessions in its program targets following devastating floods that killed over 130 in its eastern Punjab province since late August, impacted over 4.5 million people and destroyed large swathes of crops. The devastation has spiked food prices in many parts of the country, with experts warning of food shortages due to supply chain disruptions. 

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met the fund’s Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva in New York last week on the sidelines of the ongoing United Nations’ General Assembly session. During the meeting, Sharif spoke about Pakistan’s progress in fulfilling the IMF program targets but also demanded that the impact of recent floods on Pakistan’s economy “must be factored into the IMF’s review,“

Islamabad has so far received more than $2 billion under the EFF and is expecting a third tranche of $1 billion after the second review concludes successfully.

IMF’s bailout packages have proven instrumental in keeping Pakistan’s fragile $350 billion economy afloat, as the country grapples with tough economic conditions that have triggered a balance of payments crisis and weakened its national currency. 

Pakistan has undertaken painful measures in the past, such as removing subsidies that have resulted in higher food and fuel prices, spiking inflation in the country. Pakistani financial experts told Arab News last week they expected the global lender to grant Islamabad concessions as far as its program targets were concerned, in light of the damages inflicted by the recent floods. 

 “We are expecting Pakistan to get a little breather due to the floods,” economist Sana Tawfik said last week, adding that Islamabad would comfortably meet the international lender’s targets. 

Shankar Talreja, head of research at brokerage firm Topline Securities Ltd., said the current review will focus on continuing the IMF’s reforms under revised parameters due to the floods. He said the government is expected to keep pushing for privatization of state-owned enterprises and clearing its old backlog of circular debt.
 
“The concessions are likely in form of some downward revisions in FBR (Federal Board of Revenue) tax revenue, upward revision in fiscal balance over relief spending and there might a downward adjustment in GDP growth target as well,” Talreja said. 


SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening
Updated 28 September 2025

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

RIYADH: The Saudi Central Bank has announced a significant update to its banking regulations, now permitting the use of the “Visitor ID” as a valid document for opening bank accounts within the Kingdom.

The “Visitor ID,” an official identification document issued by the Ministry of Interior for visitors, can be authenticated via authorized digital platforms. 

The move is a strategic step under Ƶ’s Vision 2030, aimed squarely at boosting the tourism sector and creating a seamless, digitally-enabled experience for the millions of tourists, business travelers, and pilgrims who visit the Kingdom annually.

“This decision will enable banks to open accounts for new consumer segments and enhance the visitor experience during their stay in the Kingdom,” SAMA said in a statement.

The statement clarified that this regulatory update stems from a periodic review process, ensuring that policies keep pace with market developments. 

The change is expected to streamline account opening procedures, advance financial inclusion, and further support the ongoing digital transformation of Ƶ’s banking services.

This decision effectively bridges a major gap for visitors. Now, with a bank account tied to their Visitor ID — which is issued through the government’s “Absher” platform — they can use local mobile wallets and make digital payments with ease, reducing their reliance on cash. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 
Updated 28 September 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

RIYADH: Ƶ’s Tadawul All Share Index dropped on Sunday, losing 78.57 points, or 0.69 percent, to close at 11,229.54. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.89 billion ($1.30 billion), as 125 of the listed stocks advanced, while only 118 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index also decreased, down 13.01 points or 0.88 percent, to close at 1,460.29. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 5.60 points, or 0.02 percent, to close at 25,455.54. This comes as 42 of the listed stocks advanced, while 44 retreated. 

The best-performing stock during today’s session was CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co., with its share price surging by 10 percent to SR38.72. 

Other top performers included Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co., which saw its share price rise by 9.97 percent to SR28.46, and Obeikan Glass Co., which saw a 9.88 percent increase to SR32.46. 

Arabian Contracting Services Co. rose 6 percent to SR99.85, while East Pipes Integrated Co. for Industry gained 5.38 percent to SR123.40. 

On the downside, the worst performer of the day was Sustained Infrastructure Holding Co., whose share price fell by 3.35 percent to SR32.86. 

Jadwa REIT Saudi Fund fell 3.33 percent to SR10.74, while Al Rajhi Bank dropped 3.15 percent to SR101.50. 

Arriyadh Development Co. fell 2.91 percent to SR29.40, while Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff Co. declined 2.77 percent to SR274. 

On the announcements front, the board of directors of Saudi Networkers Services Co. approved the company’s move from the parallel market, known as Nomu, to the main market. 

The company said it will commence fulfilling the applicable requirements and coordinating with the relevant authorities to obtain the necessary approvals for the transfer to the main market.  

“The transfer to the main market is subject to the approval of the Saudi Capital Market Authority and conditional upon meeting all the applicable requirements. Any material developments regarding the event will be announced as they occur,” the statement added. 

The Saudi Networkers Services Co.’s shares traded 3.25 percent higher on the parallel market to close at SR74.55. 


Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July
Updated 28 September 2025

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

JEDDAH: Oman’s conventional commercial banks expanded credit by 8 percent year on year by the end of July 2025, official data showed. 

Private sector lending rose 4.6 percent to 21.3 billion rials ($55.4 billion), according to the Central Bank of Oman. Investments in securities fell 3.4 percent to 5.8 billion rials, with holdings of government development bonds climbing 6.3 percent to 2 billion rials, while foreign securities declined 15.7 percent to 2.1 billion rials. 

The central bank’s 2025 Financial Stability Report pointed to strong capital buffers and high-quality assets, noting that Oman’s banking sector remains profitable and well-positioned to absorb external shocks. 

“Private sector deposits increased 4.1 percent to 17 billion rials by the end of July, accounting for 66.3 percent of total deposits with conventional commercial banks,” ONA reported, citing the report’s findings. 

On the liabilities side, the recent official data noted that the total deposits with conventional commercial banks grew 3.6 percent to 25.7 billion rials by the end of July. It added that government deposits rose 7.1 percent to 5.8 billion rials, while deposits from public sector institutions fell 11 percent to 1.7 billion rials. 

Real estate trade value hits 2.12bn rials    
According to the National Centre for Statistics and Information, Oman’s total real estate transaction value reached 2.124 billion rials by the end of August, marking a 9.9 percent increase from 1.933 billion rials in the same period last year. 

Fees for legal transactions rose 81.7 percent to 79 million rials. Similarly, sale contract values grew 16.1 percent to 831 million rials, despite a slight 1 percent drop in the number of contracts to 43,971. 

Meanwhile, mortgage contract values rose 6.4 percent to 1.285 billion rials, while exchange contract values declined 17.7 percent to 7.6 million rials. Additionally, property ownership transfers rose 2.6 percent to 153,764, though transfers to GCC nationals fell 12.8 percent to 859 ownerships. 

S&P affirms Oman’s BBB- rating 

The global financial rating agency S&P has affirmed Oman’s long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit rating at “BBB-” with a stable outlook, citing the government’s commitment to financial reforms and its ability to maintain economic stability despite oil price fluctuations. 

“The report noted that the government’s reforms — including restructuring state-owned enterprises, diversifying income sources, and establishing the Oman Future Fund — have strengthened economic resilience and attracted foreign investment,” ONA reported. 

The agency expects Oman’s real GDP growth to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to over 2 percent annually during 2025–2028, supported by non-oil sector expansion. 

It forecasts Brent crude prices to climb from $60 per barrel in late 2025 to $65 in 2026–2028, with public debt falling from 36 percent of GDP in 2024 to 33 percent by 2028. Inflation is expected to average 1.5 percent, government net assets to remain at 8 percent, and non-oil growth to hold at 2.9 percent annually.  

S&P also noted a small fiscal deficit of 0.5 percent of GDP in 2025, moving to a balanced budget by 2026, with an average current account deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP.