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Oil Updates — crude falls as market eyes OPEC+ output increase, US tariffs

Oil Updates — crude falls as market eyes OPEC+ output increase, US tariffs
Brent futures fell 24 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $70.80 a barrel at 8:00 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 05 March 2025

Oil Updates — crude falls as market eyes OPEC+ output increase, US tariffs

Oil Updates — crude falls as market eyes OPEC+ output increase, US tariffs

SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell for a third session on Wednesday as plans by major producers to raise output in April combined with concerns that US tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China will slow economic growth and hit fuel demand.

Brent futures fell 24 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $70.80 a barrel at 8:00 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 58 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $67.68 a barrel.

In the previous session, the contracts settled at close to multi-month lows.

“Unfavorable supply-demand dynamics have created a double whammy, with tariff uncertainties posing downside risks to global growth, and in turn, oil demand,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

“OPEC+ remains on track to increase production in April, while optimism over a potential resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict raises the prospects of Russian supplies returning to the market,” Yeap added.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, decided on Monday to increase output for the first time since 2022.

The group will make a small increase of 138,000 barrels per day from April, the first step in planned monthly increases to unwind its nearly 6 million bpd of cuts, equal to nearly 6 percent of global demand.

A 25 percent tariff on all imports from Mexico, a 10 percent tariff on Canadian energy and a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20 percent came into effect on Tuesday. The Trump administration also imposed 25 percent tariffs on all other Canadian imports.

US President Donald Trump’s self-declared trade war is seen by economists as a recipe for fewer jobs, slower growth, and higher prices, which could kill demand. The lower economic growth will likely impact fuel consumption in the world’s biggest oil consumer.

The Trump administration also said on Tuesday it was ending a license that the US has granted to US oil producer Chevron since 2022 to operate in Venezuela and export its oil.

The move puts 200,000 barrels per day of supply at risk, said ING commodities strategists in a note on Wednesday.

“This will leave US refiners looking for alternative heavy grades of crude oil just as other suppliers — Canada and Mexico — face tariffs,” they added.

Meanwhile, US crude stocks fell by 1.46 million barrels in the week ended February 28, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Investors now await government data on US stockpiles, due on Wednesday. 


Ƶ’s digital government push driving top-10 ranking ambition: KPMG

Ƶ’s digital government push driving top-10 ranking ambition: KPMG
Updated 59 min 27 sec ago

Ƶ’s digital government push driving top-10 ranking ambition: KPMG

Ƶ’s digital government push driving top-10 ranking ambition: KPMG

RIYADH: Ƶ is fast-tracking the unification of its government platforms, with 267 already merged as the Kingdom seeks a top-10 global ranking by 2030, according to KPMG Middle East.

The firm’s latest report, “From Citizen Experience to Empowerment”,  sets out how the Kingdom is poised to integrate its fragmented digital services into a singular ecosystem, capitalizing on its advanced infrastructure, centralized governance, and digitally native population.

The move builds on the Kingdom’s Digital Government Strategy 2023–2030, which seeks to consolidate more than 800 separate platforms into a coherent, citizen-centric ecosystem. 

In its report, KPMG stated: “Ƶ has the opportunity to enter this transformation with strategic advantages: strong leadership commitment under Vision 2030, streamlined governance, advanced digital infrastructure, and a digitally native population.” 

This transformation leverages artificial intelligence, blockchain, predictive analytics, and Internet of Things technologies.  

In July, the Digital Government Authority announced the integration and closure of 267 digital platforms across various sectors as part of ongoing efforts to improve efficiency and user experiences. 

DGA also reported that the 2025 Digital Experience Maturity Index reached 86.71 percent, classified as “Advanced,” following an assessment of 50 digital platforms across 20 themes.

The report outlines how Ƶ’s digital strategy is designed to meet growing expectations for seamless and intuitive government services.  

It draws upon the success of platforms like Absher, Tawakkalna, and Musaned, which serve millions of users.  

Absher alone supports over 28 million citizens with a unified digital ID and offers more than 500 services.  

Tawakkalna, initially a health-tracking application, now provides access to over 600 government services in real-time. 

Despite progress, KPMG highlights the challenges associated with service duplication and inconsistent user experiences due to platform fragmentation. 

To address this, DGA launched the Whole-of-Government program in 2022, focusing on unifying service design, platform governance, and shared IT resources. 

The program has reduced government platforms from 817 at launch to 550 by mid-2025. It aims to optimize resources, deliver more effective digital services, and enhance beneficiary satisfaction. 

“The unified design system provides standardized guidelines to ensure consistency across government platforms,” the report noted. 

Ƶ’s commitment to digital transformation is reflected in global benchmarks. 

The Kingdom rose 25 positions in the latest UN E-Government Development Index and now ranks fourth globally in the Digital Services Index.  

A unified digital government in Ƶ will depend on several key enablers: strong governance, workforce upskilling, strategic leadership alignment, and proactive citizen engagement.  

KPMG recommended a national chief information officer council to coordinate integration and enforce compliance across entities.  

“Achieving platform unification requires a multi-tiered governance framework, with strong leadership at the central government level,” the report stated. 

The roadmap includes establishing a national digital identity for secure single sign-on access and deploying standardized APIs for data interoperability.  

AI-driven personalization will be central to delivering tailored services. Blockchain will be used for secure identity verification and transparent records, while IoT will enhance real-time responsiveness. 

The initiative also places significant emphasis on inclusivity and accessibility. Services will be adapted for citizens, expatriates, domestic workers, and international visitors.  

Multiple languages, adaptive technologies, and simplified user flows will ensure equitable access regardless of digital literacy levels. 

To support the transformation, public sector employees will undergo training in AI, customer experience methodologies, cybersecurity, and digital service design.  

A cultural shift toward collaboration, innovation, and continuous improvement will be promoted through change management programs and co-design initiatives with citizens. 

The final stage envisions a predictive and anticipatory governance model, where services are delivered before citizens request them.  

Real-time dashboards, continuous feedback, and AI-powered decision-making will reinforce agility and responsiveness.  

As dependency on digital systems increases, cybersecurity resilience and decentralized infrastructure will become vital. 

Through a phased, integrated approach, Ƶ is charting a path toward a resilient, inclusive, and globally competitive digital government. 

“This comprehensive and integrated approach fully aligns with Vision 2030, positioning the Kingdom as a global benchmark in next-generation digital governance,” the report concluded.


Kuwait records $3.46bn budget deficit in 2024-2025, well below forecast

Kuwait records $3.46bn budget deficit in 2024-2025, well below forecast
Updated 26 August 2025

Kuwait records $3.46bn budget deficit in 2024-2025, well below forecast

Kuwait records $3.46bn budget deficit in 2024-2025, well below forecast
  • Total actual revenues reached 22.06 billion dinars
  • 19.36 billion dinars were derived from oil income

RIYADH: Kuwait recorded an actual budget deficit of 1.06 billion dinars ($3.46 billion) for the 2024-2025 fiscal year ending March 31, significantly lower than the projected shortfall of 5.6 billion dinars.

According to Reuters, citing data published in the official gazette Kuwait Al-Youm, total actual revenues reached 22.06 billion dinars, surpassing the estimated 18.9 billion dinars. Of the total, 19.36 billion dinars were derived from oil income.

This comes as government spending came in at 23.11 billion dinars, lower than the 24.5 billion dinars initially forecast in the state budget plan.

Economic researcher Mohammed Ramadan said the lower-than-expected deficit was “normal,” attributing it to Kuwait’s conservative approach to budgeting, Reuters reported.

“The government usually underestimates revenues and overstates expenditures, which makes the projected deficit appear somewhat exaggerated,” he said.

“Unfortunately, this policy leads the government to spend less than it should, which in turn reduces investment in development projects that grow more expensive over time due to inflation and other factors,” he added.

Total expenditures declined by nearly seven percent compared to the previous fiscal year, when spending stood at 23.64 billion dinars.

Ramadan said the decrease was primarily due to reduced allocations for grants. 

These typically include support for foreign countries, international organizations, and some domestic institutions.

He also noted a reduction in the goods and services category, which encompasses a wide range of operational spending. 

“This indicates a broad reduction in government spending across many items in this category,” he said.

In February, the government approved the draft budget for 2025-2026, projecting the deficit to widen by 11.9 percent to 6.31 billion dinars.

The draft, which still requires final approval by Emir Sheikh Meshal Al-Ahmed Al-Sabah, expects revenues to drop to 18.2 billion dinars, while expenditures are set at 24.5 billion dinars.

Kuwait’s economy saw a 3 percent contraction in 2024 according to official data published in May, which also showed the contribution of non-oil sectors to GDP increased by 3.7 percent during the 12-month period.

Despite the forecasted full-year deficit, Kuwait posted a surplus of 150.4 million dinars during the first half of the 2024-2025 fiscal year, according to Ministry of Finance data published in November. The surplus was driven by higher revenues and reduced spending.


Egypt petroleum ministry says work underway in three new wells in Zohr gas field

Egypt petroleum ministry says work underway in three new wells in Zohr gas field
Updated 26 August 2025

Egypt petroleum ministry says work underway in three new wells in Zohr gas field

Egypt petroleum ministry says work underway in three new wells in Zohr gas field

CAIRO: Work is underway at three new wells in the Zohr gas field in the Mediterranean in the current financial year, Egypt's petroleum ministry said on Tuesday.
Another well, the Zohr-6 well, has added about 65 million cubic feet per day of gas to Egypt’s output, the ministry added.
Italian energy group Eni, Zohr's operator, resumed drilling at the Zohr field in February after production was curbed because of arrears owed to foreign oil companies.
Output in the largest gas field found in the Mediterranean dropped to 1.9 billion cubic feet per day in early 2024, well below the peak reached in 2019.
Zohr was discovered in 2015 by Eni and began producing gas in late 2017. It holds an estimated 30 trillion cubic feet of gas.
The field is operated by Petrobel, a joint venture of Eni and state-owned Egyptian General Petroleum Corp.


Saudi Kafalah program drives 98% financing surge for entertainment SMEs

Saudi Kafalah program drives 98% financing surge for entertainment SMEs
Updated 26 August 2025

Saudi Kafalah program drives 98% financing surge for entertainment SMEs

Saudi Kafalah program drives 98% financing surge for entertainment SMEs

JEDDAH: Entertainment focused small and medium enterprises in Ƶ experienced a 98 percent year-on-year increase in financing during the second quarter of 2025. 

The Small and Medium Enterprises Financing Guarantee Program, also known as Kafalah, supported 32 establishments and issued guarantees exceeding SR79 million ($21 million), the Saudi Press Agency reported. 

The number of beneficiary establishments rose 78 percent compared with the same period in 2024. By the end of the quarter, 94 enterprises had benefited from the program’s entertainment sector product, receiving total financing of more than SR304 million and guarantees totaling SR225 million.

Kafalah works in partnership with the General Entertainment Authority and financial institutions to provide guarantees that reduce financing risks and broaden access to capital. The initiative is part of Saudi Vision 2030’s strategy to foster economic growth and develop promising sectors.  

The SPA report noted that this growth in the entertainment sector highlights “the effectiveness of the product in supporting the sector’s growth and facilitating establishments' access to appropriate financing solutions.” 

It added: “The Kafalah program continues its commitment to supporting vital sectors by providing financial guarantees that contribute to reducing financial risks and expanding the scope of financing through effective partnerships with financing entities, supported by an integrated technical and knowledge system.” 

Kafalah’s Entertainment Product provides financial guarantees to SMEs across various entertainment sectors, including supporting industries, offering coverage of up to 90 percent of the funding value, according to its website.  

Maximum guarantee limits are SR2.5 million for micro enterprises, SR5 million for small enterprises, and SR15 million for medium enterprises. Enterprises can apply directly through cooperating financial institutions or via the SME Bank’s finance portal, with the program reviewing requests and issuing guarantees to the financier upon approval. 

Since its inception in 2020, Kafalah has issued more than 64,000 guarantees valued at SR72.5 billion, supporting over 23,000 enterprises and creating nearly 1 million jobs, according to a release issued in September 2024.  

Twenty-seven enterprises have transitioned from medium-sized firms to the parallel market, while 8 percent of micro-enterprises have grown into small and medium-sized businesses. 

The program also reduced the average processing time for guarantees from 48 working days to just 36 hours using AI-driven systems. Studies conducted with King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals found that Kafalah-supported enterprises experienced a 17.3 percent increase in employment compared with those relying on traditional financing. 

Over the past five years, the Kafalah program has contributed nearly SR27 billion to Ƶ’s gross domestic product, highlighting its role in expanding the Kingdom’s SME ecosystem. 


Saudi housing deals top $20bn in H1 as Madinah leads growth: Knight Frank

Saudi housing deals top $20bn in H1 as Madinah leads growth: Knight Frank
Updated 26 August 2025

Saudi housing deals top $20bn in H1 as Madinah leads growth: Knight Frank

Saudi housing deals top $20bn in H1 as Madinah leads growth: Knight Frank
  • Average apartment prices in the capital increased 10.6% year on year
  • Tens of thousands of new homes are due for delivery in Madinah and Makkah by 2028

RIYADH: Ƶ’s residential market recorded nearly 93,700 deals in the first half of the year, a 7 percent year-on-year increase, driven by strong mortgage activity and government support, according to Knight Frank. 

The segment accounted for 63 percent of total real estate activity in the Kingdom, with transactions valued at SR77.5 billion ($20.6 billion), the consultancy said in its latest market overview. 

This comes as Ƶ’s real estate market maintained steady growth in the second quarter, with overall property prices across the Kingdom rising 3.2 percent year-on-year, official data showed. Residential property costs recorded a 0.4 percent increase, according to the General Authority for Statistics. 

The performance highlights a broader surge in the Saudi real estate sector, driven by the nation’s economic diversification strategy. With the Real Estate General Authority projecting the market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, housing has become a key pillar in the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 strategy to reduce reliance on oil. 

“One of the most significant legislative developments this year has been the approval of the new Law of Real Estate Ownership by Non-Saudis,” said Faisal Durrani, partner and head of research for the Middle East and North Africa region at Knight Frank.  

“Set to come into effect in January 2026, this new ownership framework, coupled with accelerating residential deliveries and mortgage market reforms, is expected to deepen market liquidity and improve investor sentiment,” he added. 

Knight Frank’s report pointed to diverging trends, with Riyadh showing signs of recalibration while Madinah led the nation in growth. Residential transactions in the holy city jumped 49 percent year on year to SR3.4 billion, as volumes climbed 38 percent. 

Despite a 31 percent drop in transaction volumes, Riyadh’s residential prices continued to climb. Average apartment prices in the capital increased 10.6 percent year on year in the second quarter of 2025 to SR6,175 per sq. meter, with prime central districts like Al-Taawun seeing increases of up to 32 percent. 

In contrast, Jeddah’s market gained momentum, with total transaction value increasing by 28 percent to SR17.3 billion. The city is seeing a shift in demand toward large, master-planned communities that offer integrated lifestyles. 

Looking ahead, the consultancy said that tens of thousands of new homes are due for delivery in Madinah and Makkah by 2028. Makkah’s supply is expected to grow from 428,200 units to 462,000, while Madinah is set to add 27,860 homes, bringing its total inventory to 381,200 units. 

“Large-scale government-backed projects are transforming the urban fabric of Makkah and Madinah,” said Amar Hussain, associate partner at Knight Frank. 

He added: “These developments will elevate the cities’ urban experience, strengthening their appeal to both residents and visiting pilgrims while supporting the government’s broader tourism and economic development goals.” 

The overall outlook remains positive, with strategic reforms and ongoing Vision 2030 initiatives positioning the Saudi residential sector for sustained, long-term growth.