Oil Updates — prices stable ahead of US-China trade talks
Oil Updates — prices stable ahead of US-China trade talks/node/2603909/business-economy
Oil Updates — prices stable ahead of US-China trade talks
Brent crude futures gained 4 cents to $66.51 a barrel by 11:40 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 15 min 10 sec ago
Reuters
Oil Updates — prices stable ahead of US-China trade talks
US and China hold trade talks in London on Monday
Potential trade deal could boost oil demand
Updated 15 min 10 sec ago
Reuters
LONDON: Oil prices were little changed on Monday as investors awaited US-China trade talks in London in the hope that a deal could boost the global economic outlook and subsequently fuel demand.
Brent crude futures gained 4 cents to $66.51 a barrel by 11:40 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 1 cent to $64.57.
Brent rose 4 percent last week and WTI 6.2 percent as the prospect of a US-China trade deal boosted risk appetite for some investors.
US President Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping spoke on the telephone on Thursday before US and Chinese officials meet in London on Monday in an effort to calm trade tensions between the two nations.
A trade deal between the US and China could support the global economic outlook and in turn boost demand for commodities including oil.
Monday’s talks could dampen the impact on prices of a slew of Chinese data releases, said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore.
Chinese export growth slowed to a three-month low in May as US tariffs curbed shipments while factory gate deflation deepened to its worst in two years, heaping pressure on the world’s second-largest economy at home and abroad.
“Bad timing for crude oil, which was testing the top of the range and knocking on the door of a technical break above $65,” Sycamore said, referring to WTI prices.
The data also showed that China’s crude oil imports declined in May to the lowest daily rate in four months as state-owned and independent refiners began planned maintenance.
The prospect of a potential China-US trade deal outweighed concern over the price impact from increased output by the OPEC+ group of oil producers next month.
Jordan’s foreign exchange reserves hold steady at $22.76bn in May
Updated 16 min 52 sec ago
Reem Walid
RIYADH: Jordan’s foreign exchange reserves remained largely unchanged in May, standing at $22.76 billion, as per new data released by the Central Bank of Jordan.
The slight month-on-month dip — about 0.2 percent from April — reflects broad stability in the Kingdom’s external buffers.
Jordan’s foreign exchange figures are broadly in line with trends observed across other Middle East and North African countries.
The Qatar Central Bank recorded a 3.6 percent increase in its foreign currency reserves and liquidity, reaching 258.135 billion Qatari riyals ($70.9 billion) in May, up from 249.165 billion riyals in May 2024.
Egypt’s foreign exchange reserves rose to $48.525 billion by the end of May, compared to $48.144 billion in April, marking an increase of $381 million.
“The Central Bank of Jordan stated in a statement today that its total foreign reserves are sufficient to cover the country’s imports of goods and services for approximately nine months,” the Qatar News Agency reported.
The central bank also reported that gold holdings at the end of May were valued at $7.76 billion, totaling 2.345 million ounces, underscoring the role of bullion in Jordan’s reserve composition.
“It added that the presence of comfortable levels of foreign reserves enhances the ability to influence exchange rates, provides a stable economic environment, and enhances the confidence of foreign creditors and investors,” the QNA report stated, citing the Jordan Central Bank.
In May, Jordan’s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating was affirmed at “BB-” with a stable outlook by Fitch Ratings, citing the country’s macroeconomic stability and progress on fiscal and economic reforms.
The US-based credit rating agency noted that the rating and stable outlook also reflect Jordan’s resilient financing sources — including a liquid banking sector, a robust public pension fund, and sustained international support.
Despite the stable outlook, Jordan’s credit rating remains below that of several other countries in the region. In February, Fitch affirmed Ƶ’s IDR at “A+” with a stable outlook, while the UAE was rated “AA-.”
Fitch said the ratings are constrained by high government debt, moderate growth, risks from domestic and regional politics, as well as current account deficits and net external debt levels that exceed those of rating peers.
A “BB” rating indicates elevated vulnerability to default risk, particularly in the event of adverse shifts in business or economic conditions. However, it also suggests some degree of financial or operational flexibility in meeting commitments.
Fitch also noted that Jordan’s government remains committed to advancing its three-pillar reform agenda — spanning economic, public administration, and political sectors — despite external pressures.
The agency added that the pace of reforms will continue to be shaped by the need to preserve social stability, resistance from vested interests, and institutional capacity limitations.
Syria’s central bank plans currency unification and return to global payment system SWIFT
Governor Abdulkader Husrieh said reforms aim to eliminate role of unauthorized money changers
Reintegration into SWIFT marks milestone in new government’s economic liberalization efforts
Updated 09 June 2025
Miguel Hadchity
RIYADH: Syria will adopt a unified exchange rate before transitioning to a managed float system as it seeks to stabilize a currency that has lost nearly all its value against the US dollar.
In an interview with the Financial Times, Central Bank of Syria’s Governor Abdulkader Husrieh confirmed the reforms, emphasizing efforts to eliminate the role of unauthorized money changers in the country’s foreign exchange market as part of broader financial reconstruction.
Syria is also set to be fully reintegrated into the SWIFT international money transfer system within weeks, reconnecting the country to global finance after 14 years of war and sanctions.
The country is working to revive its economy after years of conflict, with its transitional government, led by President Ahmed Al-Sharaa, implementing reforms such as privatizing state-owned firms, easing import restrictions, and attracting foreign investment.
An armed member of Syria’s security forces stands guard outside the Damascus Securities Exchange as the stock market opens in the Ya’fur area near Damascus. AFP
“We aim to enhance the brand of the country as a financial hub given the expected foreign direct investment in rebuilding and infrastructure — this is crucial,” Husrieh told the FT.
Key developments in Syria include a $7 billion energy deal with Qatar, the reopening of the Damascus Securities Exchange, and a $300 million fiber-optic project with Gulf telecom companies. These initiatives come as Ƶ and Qatar pledge financial support to help stabilize Syria’s economy amid a gradual easing of Western sanctions.
SWIFT reconnection to boost trade and investment
The reintegration into SWIFT marks a milestone in the new government’s economic liberalization efforts following the lifting of US sanctions last month.
The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications is a global cooperative that facilitates secure international money and security transfers through a vast messaging network, enabling banks and financial institutions to exchange information and instructions for financial transactions.
Husrieh, who took office in April, said that significant progress has been made but acknowledged that there’s still much work ahead.
A money changer waits for customers on a street in Damascus. AFP
Post-war economic challenges
Since 2011, Syria has been isolated from global markets due to war and sanctions. The economy collapsed under ex-President Bashar Assad and when Al-Sharaa took power last December, his government swiftly introduced free-market reforms to revive the economy and reassure wary foreign investors.
Last month, President Donald Trump’s announcement of lifting sanctions provided a major boost, but Husrieh stressed that “a full policy shift is still needed,” calling for comprehensive sanctions removal rather than selective measures.
“The central bank previously micromanaged the financial system, overregulated lending, and restricted withdrawals,” he said. “We’re reforming through recapitalization, deregulation, and re-establishing banks as intermediaries between households and businesses.”
Reconnecting to SWIFT will reduce import costs, facilitate exports, and curb reliance on informal financial networks. Husrieh said all foreign trade will now go through formal banks, cutting out money changers who took a 40 percent cut on dollar transactions.
Before Assad left the presidency, the Syrian pound plummeted. While it has since strengthened, volatility remains. Husrieh aims to unify official and black-market rates before transitioning to a managed floating exchange rate system.
Gulf nations are actively supporting the reforms in Syria, and Ƶ and Qatar cleared the country’s World Bank debt and pledged to cover public sector salaries for three months.
“Effective May 12, 2025, the arrears of approximately $15.5 million due to the International Development Association by the Syrian Arab Republic have been cleared,” the World Bank confirmed on May 16.
Non-oil sector drives Ƶ’s GDP growth to 3.4% in Q1: GASTAT
Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels lead at an 8.4% annual increase
Oil activities contracted by 0.5% year on year
Updated 09 June 2025
Miguel Hadchity
RIYADH: Ƶ’s economy expanded by 3.4 percent year on year in the first quarter of 2025, propelled by robust growth in non-oil activities, according to official data.
The estimates released by the General Authority for Statistics showed that the seasonally adjusted real gross domestic product also saw a quarterly rise of 1.1 percent, signaling sustained economic momentum.
The non-oil sector emerged as the primary engine of growth, increasing by 4.9 percent compared to the first quarter of 2024. In contrast, oil activities contracted by 0.5 percent year on year, reflecting ongoing volatility in the energy sector.
Ƶ’s GDP growth aligns with the broader Middle East trend, where countries are steadily advancing economic diversification.
Reforms under Vision 2030 are gradually reducing Ƶ’s dependence on the hydrocarbon sector, fostering more sustainable and long-term growth. Shutterstock
The UAE’s Ministry of Economy forecasts a 5-6 percent growth rate in 2025, fueled by robust performance in key sectors such as technology, renewable energy, trade, financial services, and infrastructure.
Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings has lowered Qatar’s 2025 real GDP growth forecast from 2.9 percent to 2.6 percent, citing the effects of US tariffs on global growth, weaker energy prices, and heightened investor caution amid rising international uncertainty.
In a release covering the latest Ƶ figures, GASTAT stated: “The main driver of growth in real GDP was non-oil activities, which contributed 2.8 percentage points. Government activities and net taxes on products also contributed positively adding 0.5 and 0.2 PP respectively.”
Sectoral performance
According to the GASTAT report, several non-oil sectors posted strong growth across the quarter, with the wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels sector leading at an 8.4 percent annual increase.
The transport, storage, and communication sector also showed robust performance, growing by 6 percent year on year.
Ƶ’s exports rebounded sharply, rising by 12.3 percent quarter on quarter, while imports fell by 10 percent. Shutterstock
Meanwhile, finance, insurance, and business services expanded by 5.5 percent despite experiencing a slight 0.1 percent quarterly dip.
These gains highlight the diversification and resilience of the economy beyond the oil industry.
Gross fixed capital formation jumped by 8.5 percent annually, underscoring confidence in the economy, while government spending rose by 5.2 percent. Private consumption grew by 4.5 percent year on year, though it declined slightly from the previous quarter.
Trade balance improvement
Ƶ’s exports rebounded sharply, rising by 12.3 percent quarter on quarter, while imports fell by 10 percent over the same period, narrowing the trade deficit.
The data highlights the Kingdom’s progress in diversifying its economy under Vision 2030, with non-oil sectors increasingly offsetting fluctuations in oil revenues.
In its latest World Economic Outlook report, the International Monetary Fund projected Ƶ’s GDP to grow by 3 percent in 2025, a downward revision from its January estimate of 3.3 percent. The IMF also trimmed its projection for 2026, reducing the expected growth rate by 0.4 percentage points to 3.7 percent.
Ƶ’s transport, storage, and communication sector showed robust performance, growing by 6 percent year on year. SPA
These forecasts reflect broader trends in the global economic environment, where shifts in energy markets and oil production adjustments continue to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term growth prospects.
The Kingdom’s economic performance remains closely tied to hydrocarbon sector dynamics, but ongoing reforms under Vision 2030 are gradually reducing this dependence, fostering more sustainable, long-term growth.
Further reinforcing this outlook, a December 2024 report from Mastercard Economics emphasized the accelerating expansion of Ƶ’s non-oil sector, which has become a key driver of economic resilience.
The analysis projected that the Kingdom’s GDP will grow by 3.7 percent year on year in 2025, a figure slightly higher than the IMF’s estimate, largely due to strong performance in non-oil industries such as tourism, entertainment, technology, and manufacturing.
The Mastercard report also noted that economic diversification will remain a top priority in 2025, with Saudi authorities leveraging the country’s strong fiscal buffers to fund ambitious infrastructure projects and attract private investment.
Key initiatives include mega-developments like NEOM, the Red Sea Project, and Qiddiya, alongside investments in renewable energy and digital transformation.
“Population growth is an important driver of economic activity, and particularly private consumption,” the report added.
Saudi ports post 13% rise in container volume in May: Mawani
Imported containers rose 15.84% from a year earlier to 292,223 TEUs
Exported volumes increased 9.38% to 279,318 TEUs
Updated 08 June 2025
Reem Walid
RIYADH: Ƶ’s seaports handled 720,684 twenty-foot equivalent units in May, a 13 percent year-on-year jump, driven by growth in imports, exports, and transshipment activity, official figures showed.
According to data from the Saudi Ports Authority, also known as Mawani, imported containers rose 15.84 percent from a year earlier to 292,223 TEUs, while exported volumes increased 9.38 percent to 279,318 TEUs.
Transport, or transshipment, containers also climbed 12.89 percent to 149,143 TEUs, reflecting the Kingdom’s growing role as a regional trade hub.
The uptick in activity highlights the ongoing expansion of port infrastructure and logistics services across the country. It also supports the goals of Ƶ’s National Transport and Logistics Strategy, which seeks to position the Kingdom as a global logistics center under Vision 2030.
In a release, Mawani stated: “The total tonnage handled — general cargo, solid bulk cargo, and liquid bulk cargo — increased by 1.40 percent to reach 21,337,699 tonnes compared to 21,042,684 tonnes during the same period last year.”
The uptick in activity highlights the ongoing expansion of port infrastructure and logistics services across the Kingdom. Shutterstock
It added: “The total general cargo amounted to 935,932 tonnes, solid bulk cargo 5,059,899 tonnes, and liquid bulk cargo 15,341,868 tonnes.”
The ports received 1.63 million heads of livestock, up 61.22 percent compared to 1.01 million during the same period last year.
Maritime traffic also picked up, with vessel calls rising 9.39 percent to 1,083 ships, while the number of passengers grew 68.15 percent to reach 95,231. The number of vehicles handled increased by 13.09 percent year on year to 84,352 units.
The positive momentum follows a strong performance in April, when Saudi ports handled 625,430 standard containers, up 13.4 percent from a year earlier.
In 2024, Mawani announced several major initiatives, including agreements and groundbreaking projects to establish eight new logistics parks and hubs at Jeddah Islamic Port and King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, with a combined private sector investment of approximately SR2.9 billion ($773 million).
These efforts are part of a broader strategy to enhance the competitiveness of Saudi ports and reinforce the Kingdom’s position as a global trade and logistics hub.
The initiatives form part of a larger SR10 billion investment plan to develop 18 logistics parks across Saudi terminals, all overseen by Mawani.
Next-Gen HNWI prefer Middle East as favorite investment destination: Capgemini
Ƶ in particular is aggressively courting international investors and ultra-wealthy individuals, report says
Global HNWI population increased by 2.6% year on year in 2024
Updated 08 June 2025
Nirmal Narayanan
RIYADH: Next-generation high-net-worth individuals consider the Middle East as their preferred investment destination, thanks to geopolitical security and economic stability, according to an analysis.
In its latest report, consulting firm Capgemini revealed that Ƶ in particular is aggressively courting international investors and ultra-wealthy individuals, thanks to the Vision 2030 economic diversification program.
The findings by the Paris-based company align with the views shared by Henley & Partners in April, which said that Riyadh and Jeddah are among the fastest-growing cities in the world for millionaires.
According to Henley & Partners, more than 20,000 people with liquid investable wealth of $1 million or more are now based in the Saudi capital, while Jeddah is home to 10,400 millionaires.
Riyadh and Jeddah are among the fastest-growing cities in the world for millionaires. Shutterstock
According to Capgemini, the UAE is also capitalizing on this trend and is attracting international HNWI investors.
“Investors are targeting high-growth emerging economies for specific thematic investment options, tax regulation, economic and political stability, better wealth management services, and enhanced market connectivity. As a result of this search for geopolitical security and economic diversification, Asia and the Middle East have become appealing destinations,” said the report.
It added: “Singapore, Hong Kong, the UAE, and recently Ƶ have established themselves as prime alternatives, utilizing advantageous tax policies, strong financial ecosystems, and political stability to draw global wealth.”
The analysis added that enhanced market connectivity and improved wealth management options are among the other crucial factors that make the Middle East a desirable investment destination among next-gen HNWIs.
Saudi focus
The report said the Kingdom “has introduced new residency programs aimed at HNWIs, positioning itself as a regional wealth hub.”
It added: “As global wealth patterns shift, Ƶ is actively enhancing its legal and financial frameworks to compete with traditional wealth hubs.”
HNWIs from nine Muslim-majority countries are preparing to commit $2 billion toward property purchases in Makkah and Madinah. Shutterstock
In 2019, Ƶ introduced the premium residency visa option, which allows eligible foreigners to reside in the Kingdom and enjoy benefits such as exemption from expat and dependents’ fees, visa-free international travel, and the right to own real estate and operate a business without requiring a sponsor.
In January 2024, the Kingdom added five new products to its premium residency program. Under the new addition, the most notable one was the ability to own residential real estate assets worth a minimum of SR4 million ($1.07 million) within the Kingdom.
The rise in the number of HNWIs in Ƶ coincides with the extensive Vision 2030 economic reform program launched in 2016.
Efforts to diversify the Kingdom’s economy have also included a push to attract international companies to establish their regional headquarters in Riyadh, and as of March, over 600 global firms have opened their regional base in Ƶ.
Affirming the growth of Ƶ, Knight Frank, in April, said that HNWIs from nine Muslim-majority countries are preparing to commit $2 billion toward property purchases in Makkah and Madinah.
The trend comes as Ƶ overhauls its property sector to position itself as a global tourism and business hub by the end of this decade.
Capgemini said the UAE is also capitalizing on this trend and is attracting international HNWI investors. Shutterstock
Growth of Middle East region
The report also said the Middle East and Africa registered modest growth in HNWI wealth in 2024, gaining 0.9 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively, compared to the previous year.
In 2024, the HNWI population in the Middle East witnessed a decline of 2.1 percent, while it grew by 3.4 percent in Africa.
“In the Middle East, OPEC’s extension of oil production cuts and comparatively low oil prices, well below their peak in 2022, contributed to weak growth,” said Capgemini.
Global outlook
According to the report, the global HNWI population increased by 2.6 percent year on year in 2024.
Capgemini said the increase was driven by the growth in the population of ultra-HNWIs — those who hold at least $30 million in assets — which grew by 6.2 percent, as strong stock markets and artificial intelligence optimism boosted portfolio returns.
North America saw the biggest gains, with the HNWI population rising by 7.3 percent.
Report said Asia and the Middle East have become appealing destinations. File/Reuters
Europe’s HNWI population declined 2.1 percent due to economic stagnation in major countries like the UK and France, while Latin America also witnessed a drop of 8.5 percent, due to currency depreciation and fiscal instability.
Asia-Pacific’s HNWI population increased 2.7 percent year on year in 2024.
Within the largest individual markets, the US topped the list, adding 562,000 millionaires as the country’s HNWI population grew by 7.6 percent to 7.9 million.
India and Japan were standouts in the Asia-Pacific region, with both countries registering 5.6 percent growth, adding 20,000 and 210,000 millionaires, respectively, last year.
The HNWI population in China declined by 1 percent.
