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SINGAPORE: Oil prices slipped on Monday on weak China data, but held on to most of last week’s gains, as investors awaited US-China trade talks in London later in the day, hoping a deal could boost the global economic outlook and fuel demand.
Brent crude futures slipped 18 cents, or 0.27 percent, to $66.29 a barrel by 08:44 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 15 cents, or 0.23 percent, to $64.43.
China’s exports growth slowed to a three-month low in May as US tariffs slammed shipments, data showed, while factory-gate deflation deepened to its worst in two years, heaping pressure on the world’s second-largest economy both at home and abroad.
The data also showed that China’s crude oil imports declined in May to the lowest daily rate in four months, as state-owned and independent refiners underwent widespread planned maintenance.
“Bad timing for crude oil, which was testing the top of the range and knocking on the door of a technical break above $65,” said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore, referring to WTI prices.
“That said I would expect the reaction to be less extreme than usual, given US and China trade talks later today.”
Brent had advanced 4 percent, and WTI gained 6.2 percent, last week for their first weekly gain in three, as the prospect of a US-China trade deal boosted some investors’ risk appetite.
A US jobs report showing unemployment held steady in May appeared to increase the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, further supporting gains last week.
The prospect of a China-US trade deal that could support economic growth and increase demand for oil outweighed worries about increased OPEC+ supply after the group announced on May 31 another big output hike for July.
HSBC expects OPEC+ to accelerate supply hikes in August and September, which are likely to raise downside risks to the bank’s $65-per-barrel Brent forecast from the fourth quarter of 2025, it said in a research note on Friday.
Capital Economics researchers said they believe the “new faster pace of (OPEC+) production rises is here to stay.”
WTI’s discount to Brent has also been narrowing on a combination of increased OPEC+ output, modest US crude oil supply growth and the potential for output declines next year, ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said in a note.
The US benchmark strengthened on supply concerns after wildfires disrupted production in Canada and robust US fuel demand during the summer driving season.
The number of operating US oil rigs, an early indicator of future output, fell by nine to 442 last week, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday. 

RIYADH: Next-generation high-net-worth individuals consider the Middle East as their preferred investment destination, thanks to geopolitical security and economic stability, according to an analysis. 

In its latest report, consulting firm Capgemini revealed that ������Ƶ in particular is aggressively courting international investors and ultra-wealthy individuals, thanks to the Vision 2030 economic diversification program. 

The findings by the Paris-based company align with the views shared by Henley & Partners in April, which said that Riyadh and Jeddah are among the fastest-growing cities in the world for millionaires. 

According to Henley & Partners, more than 20,000 people with liquid investable wealth of $1 million or more are now based in the Saudi capital, while Jeddah is home to 10,400 millionaires. 

According to Capgemini, the UAE is also capitalizing on this trend and is attracting international HNWI investors. 

“Investors are targeting high-growth emerging economies for specific thematic investment options, tax regulation, economic and political stability, better wealth management services, and enhanced market connectivity. As a result of this search for geopolitical security and economic diversification, Asia and the Middle East have become appealing destinations,” said the report.

It added: “Singapore, Hong Kong, the UAE, and recently ������Ƶ have established themselves as prime alternatives, utilizing advantageous tax policies, strong financial ecosystems, and political stability to draw global wealth.” 

The analysis added that enhanced market connectivity and improved wealth management options are among the other crucial factors that make the Middle East a desirable investment destination among next-gen HNWIs. 

Saudi focus

The report said the Kingdom “has introduced new residency programs aimed at HNWIs, positioning itself as a regional wealth hub.” 

It added: “As global wealth patterns shift, ������Ƶ is actively enhancing its legal and financial frameworks to compete with traditional wealth hubs.” 

In 2019, ������Ƶ introduced the premium residency visa option, which allows eligible foreigners to reside in the Kingdom and enjoy benefits such as exemption from expat and dependents’ fees, visa-free international travel, and the right to own real estate and operate a business without requiring a sponsor. 

In January 2024, the Kingdom added five new products to its premium residency program. Under the new addition, the most notable one was the ability to own residential real estate assets worth a minimum of SR4 million ($1.07 million) within the Kingdom.

The rise in the number of HNWIs in ������Ƶ coincides with the extensive Vision 2030 economic reform program launched in 2016. 

Efforts to diversify the Kingdom’s economy have also included a push to attract international companies to establish their regional headquarters in Riyadh, and as of March, over 600 global firms have opened their regional base in ������Ƶ. 

Affirming the growth of ������Ƶ, Knight Frank, in April, said that HNWIs from nine Muslim-majority countries are preparing to commit $2 billion toward property purchases in Makkah and Madinah. 

The trend comes as ������Ƶ overhauls its property sector to position itself as a global tourism and business hub by the end of this decade. 

Growth of Middle East region

The report also said the Middle East and Africa registered modest growth in HNWI wealth in 2024, gaining 0.9 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively, compared to the previous year. 

In 2024, the HNWI population in the Middle East witnessed a decline of 2.1 percent, while it grew by 3.4 percent in Africa. 

“In the Middle East, OPEC’s extension of oil production cuts and comparatively low oil prices, well below their peak in 2022, contributed to weak growth,” said Capgemini. 

Global outlook

According to the report, the global HNWI population increased by 2.6 percent year on year in 2024. 

Capgemini said the increase was driven by the growth in the population of ultra-HNWIs — those who hold at least $30 million in assets — which grew by 6.2 percent, as strong stock markets and artificial intelligence optimism boosted portfolio returns.

North America saw the biggest gains, with the HNWI population rising by 7.3 percent. 

Europe’s HNWI population declined 2.1 percent due to economic stagnation in major countries like the UK and France, while Latin America also witnessed a drop of 8.5 percent, due to currency depreciation and fiscal instability. 

Asia-Pacific’s HNWI population increased 2.7 percent year on year in 2024. 

Within the largest individual markets, the US topped the list, adding 562,000 millionaires as the country’s HNWI population grew by 7.6 percent to 7.9 million.

India and Japan were standouts in the Asia-Pacific region, with both countries registering 5.6 percent growth, adding 20,000 and 210,000 millionaires, respectively, last year. 

The HNWI population in China declined by 1 percent.