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Why latest Gaza ceasefire proposal may offer a pause — but not a path to peace

Analysis Why latest Gaza ceasefire proposal may offer a pause — but not a path to peace
Palestinians inspect the damage after an Israeli army airstrike on Yaffa School, in Gaza City. (AP/File)
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Updated 03 July 2025

Why latest Gaza ceasefire proposal may offer a pause — but not a path to peace

Why latest Gaza ceasefire proposal may offer a pause — but not a path to peace
  • As aid remains blocked and famine looms, a fragile US-backed truce faces skepticism from Hamas, Israel, and rights groups
  • With starvation deepening and no sign of peace, experts warn Israel’s aim is to force Palestinians out of Gaza — by design

LONDON: When global attention shifted to the conflict between Israel and Iran, the urgency around ending the war in Gaza appeared to dissipate. But for Palestinian civilians living under fire and the families of hostages still awaiting news, the nightmare remained very much alive.

On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that Israel had accepted the key conditions required for a 60-day ceasefire, although he did not detail the specific terms of the agreement.

He said Qatar and Egypt, which have played significant roles in the negotiations, would present the final proposal to Hamas. Trump urged Hamas to accept the deal, warning that if they reject it, the situation “will not get better — IT WILL ONLY GET WORSE.”

Trump’s announcement came ahead of a scheduled meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House next week, where Trump indicated he would take a “very firm” stance.

He expressed optimism that a ceasefire agreement could be finalized as soon as next week.




Aid agencies say the blockade has caused acute shortages of food. (AFP)

Despite these statements, the fighting has escalated. Israeli military spokesperson Avichay Adraee has announced renewed operations in northern Gaza, the aim being the elimination of “terrorists and terrorist infrastructure.”

On June 29, Israeli forces ordered mass evacuations from northern Gaza and Jabalia to Sheikh Radwan, warning residents to move south ahead of intensified strikes.

The US-backed proposal to end the conflict, originally presented by US envoy Steve Witkoff on May 31, called for a 60-day ceasefire in exchange for the release of 10 living Israeli hostages, while venturing into the thorny issue of Hamas disarmament.

But the plan had drawn criticism, with Hamas rejecting the proposal, saying it was “biased in favor of Israel” and failed to address the Palestinian enclave’s dire humanitarian crisis.

Instead, Hamas called for the full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, a permanent ceasefire, and the transfer of authority for the Gaza Strip to a Palestinian-led body.

Israel too had issued several non-negotiable demands, raising doubts about the proposal’s potential to deliver lasting peace — until Trump’s announcement on Wednesday.

Although it has signaled openness to a ceasefire if Hamas releases the remaining hostages, Israel has insisted on the disarmament or exile of the Hamas leadership. Some Israeli ministers have even threatened to resign over any deal that does not secure Hamas’s defeat.




Hamas called for the full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, a permanent ceasefire, and the transfer of authority for the Gaza Strip to a Palestinian-led body. (AFP)

“The current proposed framework will be difficult for Hamas to accept, since it does not include any mention of a permanent ceasefire and basically allows Israel to resume the bombing and starvation after 60 days — just as it did when it broke the last ceasefire in March,”Khaled Elgindy, visiting scholar at Georgetown University’s Center for Contemporary Arab Studies, told Arab News.

“But given the daily killing and mass starvation in Gaza, Hamas may have no choice but to go along and hope that the Trump administration will put pressure on Netanyahu to keep that from happening.”

Since early March 2025, Israel has largely blocked humanitarian aid from entering Gaza. These restrictions have halted the flow of essential supplies — including food, medicine, and fuel — dramatically worsening an already dire situation.

Although Israel resumed limited aid shipments in mid-May, UN agencies and humanitarian groups have widely condemned the effort as inadequate to meet the needs of Gaza’s 2.2 million residents.

International rights groups have denounced the aid restrictions as violations of international law, accusing Israel of using starvation as a weapon of war and pushing Gaza toward a man-made catastrophe — claims the Israeli government denies.

Aid agencies say the blockade has caused acute shortages of food, clean water, fuel, and medical supplies, driving the population to the brink of famine.

Despite growing international pressure, Israeli officials insist on retaining control over aid distribution, arguing that the measures are necessary to prevent supplies from falling into the hands of Hamas.




Since October 2023, the Israeli offensive has killed at least 55,700 Palestinians in Gaza, according to local health authorities. (AP)

In May, this stance led to the launch of a controversial new mechanism: the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation, or GHF. Backed by the US and Israel but rejected by the UN, the GHF has come under fire for failing to meet humanitarian standards and for relying on Israeli military oversight.

The GHF replaces the longstanding UN-led aid system, which Israel claims allowed Hamas to divert supplies — an allegation firmly denied by the UN and most humanitarian organizations.

Operating through four military-controlled distribution hubs in southern Gaza, the GHF forces civilians to travel long distances to collect prepackaged food, water, and hygiene kits — often under the watch of Israeli troops.

Critics, including the UN and major aid groups, say the GHF politicizes aid and enables Israel to weaponize relief by tightly regulating access.

Deadly incidents have occurred near distribution sites, with video footage showing scenes that observers have compared to concentration camps.

One such incident took place on June 15, when Israeli forces opened fire on a crowd of Palestinians gathered near an aid center in Rafah. At least eight were killed and dozens wounded, according to witnesses and Gaza health officials.




A tractor protest organised by the Kibbutz Movement and the Hostages Families (AFP)

Survivors described the scene as a trap, with no safe way to evacuate the wounded amid the chaos.

The UN and international rights groups condemned the violence. The Council on American-Islamic Relations labeled the aid centers “human slaughterhouses” due to repeated fatal shootings of civilians seeking food and water.

The international community has repeatedly called for a ceasefire in Gaza since the Israeli military operation began on Oct. 7, 2023, in retaliation for the deadly Hamas-led attack on southern Israel. Those appeals, however, have largely fallen on deaf ears.

In early June, the US vetoed yet another UN Security Council resolution calling for an unconditional and permanent ceasefire in Gaza.

Dorothy Shea, US ambassador to the UN, defended the veto, saying the resolution would “undermine diplomatic efforts” to reach a ceasefire. She also criticized the UN for not having designated Hamas a terrorist organization.




The international community has repeatedly called for a ceasefire in Gaza since the Israeli military operation began on Oct. 7, 2023. (AFP)

Hamas is described as such by the US, UK, and EU.

“We would not support any measure that fails to condemn Hamas and does not call for Hamas to disarm and leave Gaza,” she said.

Still, pressure continues to mount. On June 18, the World Food Programme emphasized the urgent need for another ceasefire to allow safe and consistent delivery of critical food supplies to families in Gaza.

On June 12, the UN General Assembly overwhelmingly passed a resolution demanding an immediate ceasefire, the release of all hostages, and unrestricted humanitarian access. The resolution, introduced by Spain, Slovenia, and others, was backed by 149 countries and condemned Israel’s use of starvation as a weapon of war.

A day later, the 10 elected members of the UN Security Council (E10) urged compliance with international law and emphasized the urgent need for humanitarian relief.

“A ceasefire will take a lot of diplomatic effort,” Elgindy said. “But at a minimum, there should be international pressure to force Israel to stop preventing food and medicine from entering Gaza. Even that is not really happening.”

The ceasefire proposal under discussion — supported by the US, Egypt, and Qatar — calls for a phased release of 10 living Israeli hostages and 18 bodies, in exchange for more than 1,200 Palestinian prisoners.

INNUMBER

• 5,833+ Killed in Gaza since hostilities resumed in March.

• 9 Israeli evacuation orders issued May 22 to June 12 across Gaza.

• 962 Israeli ceasefire violations in six weeks after Jan. 2025 agreement.

(Sources: WHO & Palestine’s representative to the UN)

Hostages would be freed over the first week of the truce, while Hamas would halt hostilities and permit aid to resume through the previously suspended UN-led system.

Israel signed off on the plan in May and is awaiting Hamas’s formal response. But Hamas insists on guarantees of a permanent ceasefire, the withdrawal of Israeli forces, and the restoration of full aid access.

Hamas also opposes Israel’s demand for the group’s full disarmament and the immediate release of all hostages before any ceasefire takes effect.

Witkoff has condemned Hamas’s conditions as “unacceptable,” urging the group to accept the deal as a basis for proximity talks.

Israel, meanwhile, maintains that any ceasefire must include the dismantling of Hamas as a military and governing entity and the return of all hostages.

It was triggered by the unprecedented Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack on southern Israel, which saw some 1,200 people killed, the majority of them civilians, and around 250 taken hostage, many of them non-Israeli nationals.

Israel’s retaliatory assault has displaced 90 percent of Gaza’s population, decimated infrastructure, and brought the health system to the brink of collapse.




Israeli officials, including Netanyahu and members of his far-right coalition, have openly discussed annexing parts of Gaza. (AFP)

Elgindy described the situation as “the worst humanitarian crisis since this horror began in October 2023.”

“It’s never been worse,” he said. “So, my sense, based on everything that we’re seeing and what the Israelis are saying, is they are moving ahead with their plan to forcibly displace the population through starvation and bombing and destruction.

“They’ve told us that this is their endgame, and we should believe them.”

Indeed, Israel’s strategy appears aimed at concentrating Gaza’s population in a small southern zone while seizing control of roughly 75 percent of the territory. The plan, approved by Israel’s security cabinet and supported by the US, has prompted alarm from human rights groups.

Organizations including Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have condemned the effort as ethnic cleansing and a possible war crime, citing forced displacement and collective punishment.

With supplies blocked and civilians trapped in an ever-shrinking space, Gaza’s 2.2 million residents face escalating desperation and a vanishing hope of survival.

Israeli officials, including Netanyahu and members of his far-right coalition, have openly discussed annexing parts of Gaza and “conquering” the territory. Some have called for its depopulation, drawing global condemnation and renewed calls to end arms sales and military aid to Israel.

According to Elgindy, Israeli leaders claim to have informal agreements with some countries to accept Palestinians from Gaza — although several regional powers have flatly rejected such plans.

“Jordan and Egypt and Ƶ and others have completely rejected the idea,” he said.

“But of course, since the most powerful nation in the world, the US, is endorsing the idea of expelling the population, the Israelis feel that it’s not only likely, but probable. And where they go is not of concern to Israel.




Since early March 2025, Israel has largely blocked humanitarian aid from entering Gaza. (AFP)

“The only thing that this Israeli leadership cares about is that they leave. And that is why they’re continuing to use starvation as a weapon while targeting aid workers, ambulances, and civilian infrastructure.

“So, all we know is that they want them to leave, but they don’t care where they go or how they go. I think they’re calling it voluntary relocation. But of course, when you bomb and starve the population, nothing is voluntary.

“There are even reports that they’re willing to pay $5,000 per family for a job and a house. They’re willing to spend billions on expelling the population rather than on rebuilding what they’ve destroyed.”

That possibility of forced mass displacement raises urgent questions about the future of international law.

“I think this is a test right now for the international community,” Elgindy said.

“Does international law mean anything at all? And if Israel is allowed to carry out its plan of ethnic cleansing of Gaza after it’s destroyed it, after broadcasting its intentions for many months — if this is allowed to go ahead, then we know for certain that international law is a complete farce and means nothing and will never mean anything going forward.

“It will be impossible to try and revive the idea of a rules-based order after Gaza.”


Lebanese president urges US, France to pressure Israel amid push to disarm Hezbollah

Lebanese president urges US, France to pressure Israel amid push to disarm Hezbollah
Updated 13 sec ago

Lebanese president urges US, France to pressure Israel amid push to disarm Hezbollah

Lebanese president urges US, France to pressure Israel amid push to disarm Hezbollah
  • French envoy Le Drian visits Lebanon as Paris prepares two international aid conferences
  • Israel targets special needs school in escalation of attacks in the south

BEIRUT: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun on Wednesday urged the United States and France to pressure Israel to halt its attacks on Lebanon as the Lebanese army begins rolling out a security plan to disarm Hezbollah and other armed groups.

His statements came during a meeting with French envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian who arrived in Beirut from Ƶ for talks with senior Lebanese officials on the country’s plan to disarm Hezbollah amid escalated Israeli attacks. The meeting also comes as France prepares to host two international aid conferences to support Lebanon’s army and economic reconstruction efforts.

In a statement, Aoun affirmed that the security plan that the Lebanese army has started implementing south of the Litani region to restrict weapons to the state aims to remove all armed groups from the Lebanese and Palestinian sides.

“However, the ongoing Israeli occupation of several Lebanese territories and its refusal to respond to international calls to stop its attacks are preventing the army from completing its deployment up to the international borders,” he added.

Aoun told to Le Drian that “any French or American pressure on Israel to respond to the will of the international community to halt its hostilities would help the Lebanese army complete the security plan.”

He said that the army would continue its work across all territories and borders, setting up barriers and checkpoints under strict orders to confiscate weapons and ammunition from all parties.

According to his media office, Aoun reiterated his gratitude to France for its role in renewing the UNIFIL mandate, noting that the extension for one year and four months as an operational force, and for a full year as a start to the withdrawal from the south, “allows for an organized departure process and gives the Lebanese army sufficient time to strengthen its capabilities, especially if the Israelis withdraw and cease their attacks.”

He thanked French President Emmanuel Macron for his efforts to hold the two international conferences, affirming that Lebanon “is moving forward with economic and financial reforms based on a firm national conviction, and not only in response to the international community demands.”

Aoun noted that holding two conferences to support the army and reconstruction is a vital step, because it establishes the appropriate security environment for economic recovery.

 He said that “solidarity among the Lebanese is unwavering and that political differences are natural in democratic systems.”

The Lebanese government will finalize the draft law on the fiscal gap this month, to be referred to parliament following the approval of the banking secrecy and banking reorganization laws, Aoun said. The step, he added, paves the way for the economic recovery process.

 Le Drian conveyed France’s continued support for Lebanon.

According to the media office of the Presidential Palace, the French envoy briefed Aoun on the outcomes of his calls in Ƶ and commended the steps taken by Lebanon in the Council of Ministers regarding the decision to restrict weapons and assign the army to develop a plan to implement the restriction of weapons.

The French envoy also praised the economic reforms undertaken by Lebanon, which he called “positive signs that enhance the chances of increasing international support for Lebanon.”

During his visit, Le Drian also met with Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam.

His talks centered on two main issues: whether conditions are now favorable for a French-led conference in support of Lebanon to move the idea forward from discussion to implementation. The second concerned the renewal of UNIFIL’s mandate, which was approved by the Security Council at the end of last month, with France acting as the council’s “penholder” on the matter.

Meanwhile, the Israeli army continued its almost daily attacks on Lebanon. On Wednesday, warplanes launched strikes on the eastern mountain range, targeting areas between Janta and Qousaya near the Syrian border.

Israeli forces also targeted a motorcyclist between the southern towns of Ain Baal and Bazouriye, killing Wassim Saeed Jabai, a resident of Hanawieh originally from Aaitat. Hezbollah later announced his death.

Intense Israeli airstrikes also hit the town of Ansar.

The Israeli army claimed on its official radio that it targeted “a site for the production and storage of strategic weapons for Hezbollah in the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon.”

Israeli forces controlling Lebanese border areas blew up a building belonging to a school for people with special needs on the outskirts of Ayta ash-Shaab, a border town.

Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem, who opposes handing over the party’s weapons to the Lebanese army, cited “the ongoing Israeli aggression against Lebanon,” when criticizing the government in a speech on Wednesday.

“How can this government claim to uphold sovereignty and represent the Lebanese people, yet stab the resistance in the back? Why does it seek to abandon Lebanon’s source of strength when it has no alternative means of defense?” he said.

Qassem argued that the US had “abandoned the guarantee it gave concerning Israel’s withdrawal from positions it occupies in the south,” accusing it of seeking to bring Lebanon under control as part of the so-called Greater Israel project.

He said that “the ongoing role of the resistance is in everyone’s interest,” calling for dialogue and consensus: “Let’s engage in dialogue and reach an agreement, don’t let the enemies exploit our divisions,” he concluded.


Norway says it believes Libya coast guard fired upon migrant vessel

Norway says it believes Libya coast guard fired upon migrant vessel
Updated 3 min 37 sec ago

Norway says it believes Libya coast guard fired upon migrant vessel

Norway says it believes Libya coast guard fired upon migrant vessel
  • Norway said Libyan authorities must implement measures to prevent similar incidents from happening again

OSLO: Norway’s foreign ministry said on Thursday that it believes a Libyan coast guard vessel on August 24 fired upon a Norwegian-flagged ship, the MV Ocean Viking, which conducts migrant rescue missions in the Mediterranean.
The incident had put the vessel, crew and others on board at risk, the Norwegian foreign ministry said in a statement.
“The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has requested that the incident be investigated to determine what happened, and that Libyan authorities implement measures to prevent similar incidents from happening again,” Norway said.


UAE president visits Oman to strengthen bilateral ties, condemn Israeli attack

UAE president visits Oman to strengthen bilateral ties, condemn Israeli attack
Updated 51 min 46 sec ago

UAE president visits Oman to strengthen bilateral ties, condemn Israeli attack

UAE president visits Oman to strengthen bilateral ties, condemn Israeli attack

DUBAI: UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan visited Oman on Thursday, meeting with Sultan Haitham bin Tariq to discuss bilateral cooperation, and regional developments, including the recent Israeli attacks on Qatari territory.

The leaders held talks at Qasr Al Hosn in Salalah, and reviewed the growing cooperation across political, economic, social, and cultural fields, emphasizing the shared commitment to further strengthen Gulf integration and support the progress of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

Both leaders condemned the Israeli strikes on Qatar, describing them as a violation of sovereignty, a breach of international law, and a threat to regional stability. They reaffirmed solidarity with Qatar and pledged support for measures taken to protect its security and citizens.

Sheikh Mohamed highlighted the enduring UAE-Oman relationship, tracing its roots to the late Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al-Nahyan and Sultan Qaboos bin Said, whose efforts laid the foundation for strong ties between the two nations.

Anwar Gargash, Diplomatic Advisor to the president of the UAE, said that Israel’s recent attacks on Qatar highlight the region’s volatile environment and that the UAE president was embarking on a Gulf tour to strengthen coordination, enhance cooperation, and reinforce the concept of a “shared destiny” among Gulf nations.


Lebanon says Israeli strike kills one in south

Lebanon says Israeli strike kills one in south
Updated 11 September 2025

Lebanon says Israeli strike kills one in south

Lebanon says Israeli strike kills one in south
  • Israel has continued to carry out attacks on Lebanon, usually saying it is targeting Hezbollah
  • “An Israeli enemy drone strike targeted a motorcycle on the Ain Baal-Bazuriyeh road, killing one person,” the health ministry said

BEIRUT: Lebanon said an Israeli strike in the country’s south on Thursday killed one person, the latest raid despite a ceasefire with militant group Hezbollah.
Israel has continued to carry out attacks on Lebanon, usually saying it is targeting Hezbollah operatives or sites, despite a November truce that sought to end more than a year of hostilities including two months of open war with the Iran-backed group.
“An Israeli enemy drone strike targeted a motorcycle on the Ain Baal-Bazuriyeh road, killing one person,” the health ministry said in a statement, referring to an area in south Lebanon’s Tyre district.
Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency reported additional Israeli strikes on the Zrariyeh are in south Lebanon’s Sidon district and in the Bekaa Valley near the Syrian border, with no immediate word on casualties.
The Israeli army said it struck Hezbollah “terror infrastructure at a site used for the production and storage of strategic weapons” in the Bekaa, and other Hezbollah infrastructure in Zrariyeh.
The raids followed a Tuesday strike south of Beirut that wounded a Hezbollah member, according to a security source, and Monday strikes in eastern Lebanon that killed five people. Israel said it targeted Hezbollah sites.
Under heavy US pressure and fears of expanded Israeli strikes, the Lebanese government last month ordered the military to draw up a plan to disarm the once-dominant Hezbollah, and last week said the army would begin the plan’s implementation.
Thursday’s raids came as French envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian visited Lebanon for talks with senior officials including President Joseph Aoun and parliament speaker Nabih Berri, a Hezbollah ally.
France is part of a committee supervising the ceasefire that also includes the United States, Lebanon, Israel and United Nations peacekeepers.
Aoun told Le Drian that “any French or American pressure on Israel to respond to the will of the international community in ceasing hostilities against Lebanon will help complete the security plan proposed by the army and welcomed by the cabinet,” the presidency said.


Yemen’s national museum damaged during deadly Israeli airstrikes, Houthi Ministry of Culture says

Yemen’s national museum damaged during deadly Israeli airstrikes, Houthi Ministry of Culture says
Updated 11 September 2025

Yemen’s national museum damaged during deadly Israeli airstrikes, Houthi Ministry of Culture says

Yemen’s national museum damaged during deadly Israeli airstrikes, Houthi Ministry of Culture says
  • The Israeli airstrikes in Yemen that killed at least 35 people and wounded more than 130 others also caused damaged to Yemen’s national museum and other historical sites in its capital city

SANAA, Yemen (AP) — The Israeli airstrikes in Yemen that killed at least 35 people and wounded more than 130 others also caused damaged to Yemen's national museum and other historical sites in its capital city, the Houthi Ministry of Culture said Thursday.
The status of the artifacts inside the museum is still unclear but thousands of historical artifacts are at risk of damage, according to the ministry. Associated Press photos and video footage from the site of the strike showed damage to the building’s facade.
The ministry called on the UN cultural agency UNESCO to condemn the attack and to intervene to help protect this historical building and its artifacts.
Most of those killed were in Sanaa, the capital, where a military headquarters and a fuel station were hit on Wednesday, the Houthi-run health ministry said.
Israel has previously launched waves of airstrikes in response to the Houthis’ firing of missiles and drones at Israel. The Iran-backed Houthis say they are supporting Hamas and the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, and on Sunday they sent a drone that breached Israel’s multilayered air defenses and slammed into a southern airport.